Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts from analytics model that called Julio Jones’ disappointing year

After trading Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins during the offseason, Patrick Mahomes is trying to develop chemistry with a completely reworked Chiefs wide receiver room. Kansas City signed Marquez Valdes-Scantling and JuJu Smith-Schuster during free agency and also drafted Skyy Moore in the second round. Where should you put every Chiefs player in your 2022 Fantasy football rankings? A reliable set of 2022 Fantasy football picks can help you determine whether Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce can live up to his 2022 Fantasy football ADP of 14 while also identifying potential 2022 Fantasy football busts to avoid. As you begin your 2022 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was being dramatically overvalued. He was being drafted around in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being one of the top 20 wide receivers. Jones wound up turning in an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and one touchdown. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as Fantasy football bust last season. It also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outperform his Fantasy football ADP. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2022 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2022 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf. Week 2 of the preseason was supposed to be Drew Lock’s first as the presumed starting quarterback, but he was forced to miss the game (COVID-19). Instead, the combination of Geno Smith and Jacob Eason combined to complete just half of their 53 total passes against the Bears.

Had Metcalf not scored 12 touchdowns last season, he would have largely been considered a bust, as he had 10 games in which he finished with fewer than 60 receiving yards but was drafted as the sixth receiver off the board on average. Seattle also has uncertainty at the running back position, and the questions all over the offense have the model projecting other receivers with lower 2022 Fantasy football ADP like Rashod Bateman, Christian Kirk and Hunter Renfrow to be better options.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2022 have identified: Packers running back A.J. Dillon. The Boston College product was drafted in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft but played a menial role during his rookie season, carrying the ball 46 times and receiving just two targets.

Dillon earned a larger role in 2021, earning 221 touches and producing 1,116 yards and seven touchdowns. However, Aaron Jones is still the more productive back on a per-touch basis and his contract makes it unlikely that Dillon will overtake him as the top back in Green Bay. Dillon has been the 23rd back drafted on average, but the model barely ranks him inside its top 30 options at RB this year. See which other Fantasy football busts 2022 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2022 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely low on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average of 2022 Fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects him to see major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2022 Fantasy Football breakouts should you be targeting? And which RB will fail to live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.

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