Fantasy Football Rankings 2021: Sleepers, breakouts, busts by advanced model that nailed Allen’s huge year

The New England Patriots made a surprising roster move on Tuesday when they released veteran quarterback Cam Newton. The former NFL MVP had 20 total touchdowns last season, but struggled throwing the ball downfield.

Newton’s departure will have an effect on the 2021 Fantasy football rankings, especially when it comes to rookie quarterback Mac Jones. He’ll now start for New England and move up the 2021 Fantasy football QB rankings.

Will Jones elevate fellow Patriots like Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, Jakobi Meyers and Damien Harris in the Fantasy football rankings 2021? Where will Jones and other rookies like Najee Harris, Ja’Marr Chase and Kyle Pitts fall along the spectrum of 2021 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts? Before setting your 2021 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2021 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills quarterback Josh Allen was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 70, but the model pegged him as a top-five Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish well ahead of players like Kyler Murray, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Allen ended up being the No. 2-scoring Fantasy QB, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks and even surpassing Patrick Mahomes. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine’s advice reaped plenty of value with that pick.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and players like Devin Singletary and JuJu Smith-Schuster as busts last season. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2021, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: 49ers running back Raheem Mostert. He struggled with injuries last season, finishing with just three total touchdowns in 2020. However, Mostert enters the 2021 NFL season fully healthy, and when he’s been on the field, he’s been one of the most consistent Fantasy football running backs.

Mostert is averaging 5.6 yards per carry in his career and finished the 2019 season with 10 total touchdowns. He’s also coming off a strong performance in San Francisco’s final preseason game ahead of the 2021 NFL season. In fact, Mostert rushed seven times for 53 yards in last Sunday’s 34-10 preseason win over the Raiders. Even though the 2021 Fantasy football ADP shows Mostert going off the board in the seventh round, he is projected to outperform players such as Miles Sanders (fifth-round ADP), Mike Davis (fifth) and Kareem Hunt (sixth).

Top 2021 Fantasy football breakouts

The model is also projecting Saints receiver Marquez Callaway as one of its top 2021 Fantasy Football breakouts. The second-year pro developed a strong chemistry with Jameis Winston during the preseason, and Winston being named the starter only elevates Callaway’s chances of breaking out. Winston and Callaway connected on two long preseason touchdowns, and the latter finished third in the league with 165 receiving yards during the NFL’s exhibition season.

After running as the fourth or fifth receiver for the Saints in 2020, Callaway currently sits atop the wide receiver depth chart. Injuries to Michael Thomas and Tre’Quan Smith elevated him to the position, and Callaway will get every opportunity to prove himself deserving of that status as long as Thomas is out. Callaway is rising up the Fantasy football rankings 2021, but is still being undervalued with a 10th-round ADP. SportsLine’s model likes him as much as Antonio Brown and Brandin Cooks, even though the veterans are being drafted multiple picks earlier.

Top 2021 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Buccaneers running back Leonard Fournette as one of its biggest 2021 Fantasy football busts. Fournette played a major role in Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl run last season, racking up 300 rushing yards and 148 receiving yards with four total TDs in the playoffs.

The 26-year-old re-signed with the Buccaneers this offseason, but he’ll have to compete with a crowded backfield. Ronald Jones, who rushed for 978 rushed in the 2020 regular season, and offseason acquisition Giovani Bernard will compete for touches with Fournette. In addition, Fournette has failed to score more than six rushing touchdowns in each of the last three seasons, which puts a cap on his Fantasy production. With Fournette slated to share primary ball carrier duties, he may be among the top Fantasy football busts 2021 given the fact that he’s being drafted in the eighth round on average.

How to find proven 2021 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being drafted in the middle rounds of 2021 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. You can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2021 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2021 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and find out.

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